Week 12 saw us get ahead a little overall, at 9-6. It was a little disappointing after a hot 3-0 start on Thanksgiving Day, but anytime we can finish the week ahead, it’s a good week. Tonight’s matchup features the 6-5 Seattle Seahawks heading into Dallas to face the 8-3 Cowboys. The Seahawks are 1-3-1 against the spread over their last five, while Dallas is 4-1. The Cowboys find themselves as a nine point favorite at home in a game with an over/under of 47.5. They’ll be in the dome, so weather won’t be an issue, and Seattle will again feature rookie Zach Charbonnet as the starting back with Kenneth Walker still sidelined.

Coming into Week 13, Dallas is allowing the second fewest passing yards per game at just 167, while Seattle allowed the 11th most at 230. Dallas is also allowing fewer rushing yards, at 109 against Seattle’s 117. Both of these teams played on Thanksgiving and are on a week of rest, so they’ve both had full recovery and planning periods. It’s a tough spot on the road for Seattle against a Dallas team that’s won five of six, and is 5-0 at home with an average margin of victory of 29 points (wow!). There are two props that I like tonight, so let’s take a look at it.

Noah Fant over 13.5 receiving yards -120

Dallas has a fantastic pass defense, but there’s a couple of factors here that lead to me really liking Fant’s chances of going over tonight. Firstly, Dallas should be able to get off to a lead early in this one, given their performance record at home, and Seattle may find themselves needing to throw early and often. Secondly, the downfield coverage for Dallas is very good, which should force Geno to complete some shorter, safer passes. Fant may be 1-3 in beating this total the last four weeks, but he was 5-1 prior to that, and is playing just as many snaps as ever. The opportunity should be there, and I think Fant converts. Not for nothing, fellow Seattle TE Will Dissly was on the injury report all week, and though he’s trending towards playing, it could limit him in some capacity, which would be an uptick for Fant.

Brandin Cooks over 41.5 receiving yards -120

In Seattle’s last four games, they’ve allowed eight different 42+ yard receivers. They’re allowing over 230 passing yards per game, and Prescott is projected for around 280 tonight. Dallas has been stellar at home, where Cooks has beaten this total in three of four opportunities. He’s 4-1 on this line in the past five games, and if Prescott approaches 280 yards tonight, Cooks should get his fair share. He tied a season-high 80% of offensive snaps last week, and has continued to outpace Michael Gallup in snap share over the past few weeks.

I’ve got a straight bet on these two props, but I also built a same-game parlay on Draftkings to take advantage of their SGP promo for tonight’s game. It’s a four-leg parlay that includes the above two lines, plus Tony Pollard anytime touchdown scorer and Dallas -9 at +950 odds. Dallas is a big favorite, but as mentioned above, their average margin of victory at home is 29. Seattle may have a hard time keeping the run game involved without Kenneth Walker, and find themselves unable to control time of possession. As always, these are my thoughts and your picks are your own. Gamble responsibly, have fun, and good luck to us!